Pulse: International Trade and Investment


Japan’s Vulnerability If There’s A New Recession

How will Japan fare if rising interest rates and the war in Ukraine send the US and Europe into a new recession? Not well, if history is any guide. It all depends on the length and depth of any recession—that is, if one even occurs. But the record shows that Japan’s economy is very susceptible to outsized reactions to economic shocks, including downturns originating elsewhere.

The Caribbean in the Crossfire: Between Covid-19, Narcotics, China, and Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

My newest work on how the combination of Covid-19, Russia's invasion of the Ukraine, PRC engagement in the Caribbean, and transnational organized crime dynamics, are gravely stressing and transforming the Caribbean.

The Struggle for the Soul of the Latin American Left

This report argues that the struggle between democratic elements and authoritarian populist elements of the increasingly dominant but diverse Latin American left will define the future of the region, with significant implications for the US.

The Risks of Chinese Engagement in the Americas

This short work gives particular attention the increasing PRC presence in the digital economy and its technologies, as well as providing recommendations for US policymakers.

Does A Weak Yen Really Help Japan?

Korea Grows Better Than Japan Without A Weak Currency Crutch

Why Nobody Invests in Japan

Japan stands apart. In the rest of the world, countries seeking to boost growth encourage foreign companies to set up new facilities on their soil or buy domestic companies, ventures known as inward foreign direct investment (FDI).

The Essence of Japan’s Plight

A failure to realize that this is not your father’s economy

Japan as 196th

How could Japan have come in 196th out of 196 countries, just behind North Korea? That’s what the 2019 data show for the ratio of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) to GDP despite years of efforts by Tokyo.

Anticipating Anomalies in Global Supply Chains

A webinar organized by Foreign Policy with experts from both the public and private sector. The panelists included Dr. Kelly Fletcher, Bob Kolasky, Brittany Masalosalo, Col. (ret.) John Mills, and journalist Maggie Lake as the moderator. It was a wide-ranging conversation on assessing the current state of global supply chains while coexisting with the COVID-19 virus.

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