COVID-19: Shaping a Sicker, Poorer, More Violent, and Unstable Western Hemisphere

posted by R. Evan Ellis on May 15, 2020 - 12:00am

The article focuses on the impact of Covid-19 on Latin America and the Caribbean.  It argues that the impact of the crisis on the region is likely to be far more severe, and play out over a longer time, than generally anticipated, with adverse, mutually reinforcing effects in public health, the economies of the region, diminished partner resources for governance, plus expanded crime and violence, and a return to public protests.  It argues that in 2021, we are likely to see significant political change in the region, as well as major advances in China's economic presence and influence there, even while resentment over that presence simultaneously grows.

Click here to read the full report in PDF.