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Data Round-Up: Strong PMI Argues Trade War Fears Exaggerated
written by Michael Lewis on July 02, 2018
FMI’s analyses of today’s June PMI and May Construction reports.
FMI July 2018 Economic & Investment Outlook
written by Michael Lewis on July 01, 2018
FMI's complete July 2018 Economic & Investment Outlook
Data Round-Up: After Soft May; Real Consumption on Track for Near +3% Gain in 18Q2
written by Michael Lewis on June 29, 2018
FMI’s analyses of today’s May Personal Income & Consumption report and June Chicago Purchasing Managers Index survey.
Trump's Trade War: Modest Drag Near-Term, But Long-Term Benefit for U.S.
written by Michael Lewis on June 28, 2018
FMI’s commentary on the likely macro costs -- and benefits -- of President Trump’s trade ‘war’ strategy.
May 2018 Durable Goods Orders
written by Michael Lewis on June 27, 2018
FMI’s analyses of today’s May Durable Goods Orders
Data Round-Up: Home Prices Continue Up at Brisk Pace; Consumers find 'Jobs Plentiful'
written by Michael Lewis on June 26, 2018
FMI’s review of April S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index and June Conference Board Consumer Confidence, featuring Jobs-Plentiful/Jobs-Hard-to-Get data, plus our review of today’s batch of June Fed bank regional business surveys.
Data Round-Up: New Home Sales Post Surprise Southern Surge in May
written by Michael Lewis on June 25, 2018
FMI’s analysis of today’s May New Home Sales report. Also this morning, the Dallas Fed’s regional Texas Manufacturing Index rose +5 points to a robust 33 in June (company outlook measure); zero is break-even for the survey.
For Powell Fed, Less Would Be More
written by Michael Lewis on June 22, 2018
FMI’s commentary on how Jay Powell could improve further on his pretty good start as Fed chairman. Unfortunately, we harbor no illusions that these recommendations will be adopted. We offer them as food for thought -- and perhaps a smile -- for a Friday afternoon.
Data Round-Up: Manufacturing Surveys Show Solid Results for 18Q2 & Beyond
written by Michael Lewis on June 21, 2018
FMI’s reviews of this morning’s June Philadelphia Fed regional manufacturing survey and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results
Data Round-Up: Existing Home Sales Continue Their Spring Slump
written by Michael Lewis on June 20, 2018
FMI’s review of this morning’s May Existing Home Sales report.
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