Growth Outlook and Business Cycle


Data Round-Up: UI Claims Remain Very Healthy, Wholesale Stocks Rise Noticeably

FMI’s review of the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results

Data Round-Up: Exports and Non-Oil Imports Rise, Both Good Signs

FMI’s analyses of today’s December International Trade report and December JOLTS results.

Data Round-Up: Solid Jobs Gains in January; Wage Trend Still Looking Up

FMI’s analyses of today’s January Employment report (including a review of the Payroll Benchmark Revision) and January Non-Manufacturing Index.

January Employment Preview: Expect +195K Private Jobs Gain

FMI’s Preview of the January Employment Report, including our reviews of the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results and 16Q4 Productivity & Labor Costs data, as well as our analysis of January Vehicle Sales.

Data Round-Up: Manufacturing Looks More Upbeat in 2017

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s January PMI and December Construction reports, as well as a review of 16Q4 GDP Sources & Assumptions.

Next Rate Hike Likely Coming in June (Possibly May)

FMI’s commentary on today’s FOMC post-meeting statement.

Data Round-Up: Home Price Hit New Peak; Regional Surveys Improve in Early 2017

FMI’s analyses of today’s January Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and other regional surveys, November S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, and the Conference Board’s January Consumer Confidence poll, as well as a Summary of data releases in January and a Schedule of major releases in February.

Preview of Data Releases

FMI’s Preview of the rest of this week’s notable data releases.

Data Round-Up: Real Consumption Well Positioned for 2017, Inflation Likely to Turn Up

FMI’s analyses of today’s December Personal Income report and our Preview of the rest of this week’s notable data releases.

Data Round-Up: Equipment Sector Looking Up for 2017

FMI’s analyses of today’s Advance Report of 16Q4 GDP and December Durable Goods Orders results.

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