Macro


Preview of Data Releases: April 6-10, 2015

FMI’s preview of the coming week’s few data releases.

GDP Risks Contraction in Jan.-March, Part 1

Richard analyzes the reason behind Japan's GDP may contract in Jan-March based on the February data.

Data Round-Up: Real Net Exports a Modest Negative for 15Q1 GDP; Vehicle Sales Rev Up

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s February International Trade report and March Vehicle Sales.

FMI March Employment Preview: Expect +250K Private Payroll Jobs

FMI’s Preview of March Employment including a review of the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims data.

Data Round-Up: Consumption Likely Grew Just +2% in 15Q1, But Income Remains Solid

FMI’s analysis of this morning’s February Personal Income & Consumption report.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: March 30 - April 3

FMI’s Preview of the coming week’s major data releases.

Data Round-Up: 14Q4 GDP Shows Continued Strong Real Consumption & Income, Better I/S Ratio

FMI’s analysis of this morning’s Third Report of 14Q4 GDP.

Toyota the Exception On Wage Hikes, Part 2

In this part 2 of the report, Richard argues that rather than rush to judgment about the impact of this spring’s wage negotiations on nominal and real wage growth based on the headlines from a few big firms like Toyota, we should wait until we get the actual numbers on wages for April and a few months thereafter.

Data Round-Up: Core Inflation Trend Appears to Be Firming

FMI’s analysis of today’s February CPI (also attached as a PDF) as well as notes on this morning’s February New Home Sales and January FHFA Home Price Index as well as March Richmond Fed Regional Surveys.

Toyota the Exception On Wage Hikes, Part 1

There is a lot of crowing in the Japanese press about wages rising in Japan because Toyota Motor Co. and some other big firms offered the biggest wage hikes in years, partly due to pressure from the Abe administration.

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