Macro
Data Round-Up: Core PPI Shows No Signs of Disinflation
FMI’s analyses of today’s August Producer Price Index (plus High-Frequency Inflation Indicators) and August Bank Lending & Money Supply results.
Data Round-Up: Revisions Buoy Mfg Results, PPI Perks Up Some
Michael Lewis' analysis of today’s June Industrial Production report and June PPI data.
Labor Trends Support Decision to Start Rate Hikes -- Soon
Mike Lewis' Commentary on labor market trends and what is likely to be a sooner-than-later Fed decision to start rate hikes.
Data Round-Up: Real Consumption & GDP Likely Posted +2.5% Growth in 15Q2
FMI’s analyses of today’s June Retail Sales, May Business Inventories, and June NFIB Small Business Optimism reports, as well as our review of June Import-Export Prices
TPA: Discontent Behind the Dysfunction, Part 3
If TPP were going to produce very sizable real income gains for most American workers (through some combination of higher wages and lower prices), then the economic arguments for TPP might be more persuasive.
Data Round-Up: Real Equipment Headed for Modest +4% 15Q2 Gain; Home Sales Stronger
FMI’s analyses of this morning’s May Durable Goods Orders as well as notes on the today’s May New Homes Sales and June Fed Regional Business Surveys.
TPA: Discontent Behind the Dysfunction, Part 5
Senate approves close of debate on TPA 60-37; TAA requires another vote; and then a vote in the House. Under TPA, even if TPP were concluded tomorrow, it would be at least four months before Congress could vote on ratification.
TPA: Discontent Behind Dysfunction, Part 4
Congress leaders hope to pass TPA within a week or so, but that does not mean quick conclusion to TPP talks.
TPA: Discontent Behind the Dysfunction, Part 2
TPP is in trouble because half of the public no longer believes free trade benefits them