GDP

Japan Back in Recession: Surprise GDP Drop

written by Richard Katz on November 17, 2014

The big picture is that GDP in 2014, so far, remains worse than 1997. Not a single major forecaster predicted that GDP would drop in July-Sept. The consensus forecast was in the 2.2-2.5% range, depending on the survey.

Data Round-Up: Real Final Sales Post Biggest Gain in Almost Four Years

written by Michael Lewis on October 30, 2014

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s Advance Report of 14Q3 GDP and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Data Round-Up: 14Q2 GDP Revision/Mix, Healthy Initial Claims Bode Well

written by Michael Lewis on August 28, 2014

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s Second Report of 14Q2 GDP and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

A Graphic Presentation of FMI Key Economic Trends - August 2014

written by Michael Lewis on August 29, 2014

FMI’s end-of-the-month report for August: Graphic summary of economic trends.

Data Round-Up: Vehicle Sales, Services Index Hit Cycle Highs; Trade a Solid Plus for 14Q3

written by Michael Lewis on September 04, 2014

FMI's analyses of the August Non-Manufacturing Index survey, July International Trade report, and August Vehicle Sales.

2nd Quarter GDP, Consumption Worse than 1997

written by Richard Katz on August 13, 2014

The fallbacks in consumption and GDP were both markedly worse this April-June than after the analogous tax hike in 1997.

Japan GDP Plunge Worse than 1997

written by Richard Katz on September 05, 2014

The larger-than-expected plunge in April-June GDP and the disappointing initial economic indicators for July have shown that the underpinnings of Japan’s economic recovery are far weaker and more fragile than the Abe administration, and most economists, had presumed.