Growth Outlook and Business Cycle

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FMI Weekly Data Preview: January 2-5

FMI’s Preview of this week's major data releases, plus our Summary of data released in December and the Schedule of major data reports in January.

Data Round-Up: A 'Festivus' for the Rest of Us

FMI’s analyses of today’s November Advance Indicators (Goods-trade, wholesale & retail inventories), December Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Data Round-Up: Public View of Labor Market Remains Upbeat

FMI’s review of today’s December Conference Board Consumer Confidence survey including the Jobs-Plentiful-Less-Jobs-Hard-to-Get measure.

Final Tax Reform Will Mostly Reflect Senate Version

FMI’s commentary on the House-Senate Conference Committee on tax reform.

Data Round-Up: UI Claims Back to Healthy 'Normal', Core PPI Trends Above +2%

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results and September PPI report (including a review of high-frequency inflation indicators).

Data Round-Up: NFIB Falls to a New Trump 'Low'

FMI’s analysis of today’s September NFIB Small Business Optimism Index.

Labor Markets Are Now Clearly Back to 'Normal'

FMI’s chart-based commentary on unemployment.

Data Round-Up: Real Net Exports Likely a Modest Positive for 17Q3 GDP

FMI’s analysis of today’s August International Trade report.

Data Round-Up: Harvey Blows Up Initial UI Claims; Fischer to Resign

FMI’s analysis of this morning’s Weekly UI Claims results and the Revised 17Q2 Productivity & Labor Costs report as well as notes on this morning's 17Q2 Quarterly Services Survey and today's Mario Draghi press conference.

Data Round-Up: Fed Regional Surveys Are Upbeat for August

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s August Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, July Industrial Production report and the latest Weekly UI Claims and Rail Traffic results.