Growth Outlook and Business Cycle

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Minimum Wages Rose in 18 States in January, Modest Impact on Average Wages

FMI’s commentary on higher minimum wages in many states starting in January.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: January 2-5

FMI’s Preview of this week's major data releases, plus our Summary of data released in December and the Schedule of major data reports in January.

Data Round-Up: A 'Festivus' for the Rest of Us

FMI’s analyses of today’s November Advance Indicators (Goods-trade, wholesale & retail inventories), December Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Data Round-Up: Public View of Labor Market Remains Upbeat

FMI’s review of today’s December Conference Board Consumer Confidence survey including the Jobs-Plentiful-Less-Jobs-Hard-to-Get measure.

Final Tax Reform Will Mostly Reflect Senate Version

FMI’s commentary on the House-Senate Conference Committee on tax reform.

Data Round-Up: UI Claims Back to Healthy 'Normal', Core PPI Trends Above +2%

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results and September PPI report (including a review of high-frequency inflation indicators).

Data Round-Up: NFIB Falls to a New Trump 'Low'

FMI’s analysis of today’s September NFIB Small Business Optimism Index.

Labor Markets Are Now Clearly Back to 'Normal'

FMI’s chart-based commentary on unemployment.

Data Round-Up: Real Net Exports Likely a Modest Positive for 17Q3 GDP

FMI’s analysis of today’s August International Trade report.

Data Round-Up: Harvey Blows Up Initial UI Claims; Fischer to Resign

FMI’s analysis of this morning’s Weekly UI Claims results and the Revised 17Q2 Productivity & Labor Costs report as well as notes on this morning's 17Q2 Quarterly Services Survey and today's Mario Draghi press conference.