Growth Outlook and Business Cycle

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Data Round-Up: PMI Starts 2018 on a Robust Note

FMI’s analysis of today’s January PMI and December Construction reports and a review of 17Q4 GDP Sources & Assumptions and likely revisions in next month’s Second Report of 17Q4 GDP.

Data Round-Up: Chicago and Other Regional Surveys Show Solid Start to 2018

FMI’s analysis of today’s January Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and other regional business surveys, as well as our Summary of major data released in January and Schedule of major data reports in February.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: January 16-19

FMI’s Preview of the few data releases in this holiday-shortened week.

Data Round-Up: Real Consumption Likely Grew a Solid +3.75% in 17Q4

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s December Retail Sales, November Business Inventories and December CPI reports, plus December Bank Lending & Money Supply results.

Data Round-Up: Even with Soft Finish, 2017 PPI Increase Was Highest Since 2011

FMI’s reviews of today’s December PPI report (including a review of recent high-frequency inflation indicators) as well as Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Labor Trends Stayed Fit in 2017, Resolved for Further Gains in 2018

FMI’s commentary on labor market improvement in 2017 and outlook for 2018.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: January 8-12

FMI’s Preview of this week’s major data releases.

Data Round-Up: Labor Markets Still Look Very Healthy, Will Tighten Further in 2018

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s December Employment, November International Trade and December Non-Manufacturing Index reports.

December 2017 Employment Preview

FMI’s Preview of Friday’s December Employment report and our review of the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims & Rail Traffic data

Minimum Wages Rose in 18 States in January, Modest Impact on Average Wages

FMI’s commentary on higher minimum wages in many states starting in January.