Growth Outlook and Business Cycle

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Data Round-Up: NMI Stays Near Cycle-High, Price Pressures Continue to Mount

FMI’s analysis of today’s February Non-Manufacturing Index and our Preview of the rest of this week’s handful of data releases.

Data Round-Up: PMI at a 14-Year High; Core Inflation Breaching Fed Target

FMI’s analyses of today’s February PMI, January Personal Income & Consumption and January Construction reports plus the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Data Round-Up: Real Equipment Spending Headed for Respectable +5% Gain in 18Q1

FMI’s analyses of today’s January Durable Goods Orders, January Advance Indicators (Goods-trade, wholesale & retail inventories), and December House Prices reports, as well as a review of the Conference Board’s February Consumer Confidence/Jobs Outlook poll.

Data Round-Up: 17Q4 GDP Little Changed at +2.5%; Regional Surveys Remain Very Upbeat

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s Second Report of 17Q4 GDP and February Regional Business Surveys, as well as our Summary of major data released in February and Schedule of major releases in March.

Data Round-Up: UI Claims Continue to Show Solid Labor Markets

FMI’s review of today’s Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Trump GDP Growth Projections Are High But Not Absurd

FMI’s commentary on the White House budget proposal.

Data Round-Up: UI Claims Very Healthy; Budget Deal to Spike Up Federal Deficit

FMI’s review of today’s Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Data Round-Up: Crediting Tax Cuts, NMI Starts Out Strong for 2018

FMI’s analysis of today’s January Non-Manufacturing Index and our Preview of the rest of this week’s handful of data releases.

FMI February 2018 Economic & Investment Outlook

FMI's complete February 2018 Economic & Investment Outlook.

January Employment Preview: Expect Hefty +250K Private Jobs Gain

FMI’s Preview of Friday’s January Employment report and our review of 17Q4 Productivity & Labor Costs and the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

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