Nikolai Tagarov
China's Trade and Investments Relations with CEE and Russia: a Focus on Energy
written by Nikolai Tagarov on January 01, 2013
China's current leadership transition is an issue. Economic growth is no longer the top priority. Therapy for the real-estate tumour might be painful. New leadership is serious dealing with corruption.
European Institutions' Infrastructure Investment Cooperation with China
written by Nikolai Tagarov on February 24, 2016
CEE countries in particular are underinvesting as they were hard hit by the 2008 crisis and FDI inflows dwindled. This is often due to government indebtedness levels; banks’ unwillingness to take on risks. However, in CEE quality of regulation and transparency have increased due to the need to attract private sector investment in the sector (EBRD Transition Report, 2015-2016). In 2015, development of PPP legislation, procurement and anti-corruption; important for attracting funds into infrastructure projects.
China’s Economy and Policy: Trends and Outlook in Early 2016
written by Nikolai Tagarov on July 04, 2016
China recorded the lowest GDP of 6.9% for 25 years in 2015; given historically high levels of debt and excess housing and factory capacity, growth going forward will stagnate. In 2015, China became a net outbound investor for the first time. The trend of rising outbound FDI will continue as China seeks higher than domestic returns and access to new markets, incl. for geopolitical reasons.
