EU


Brexit Anxiety: Penny Foolish, Pound-Wise

FMI’s Commentary on the renewed, but still-completely-unfounded anxieties over the UK ‘Brexit’ from the European Union.

FMI July 2016 Economic and Investment Outlook

Once dust settles (soon), global macro landscape will show little change; UK will take ‘associate’ EU status. Brexit will have no tangible economic impact on US. U.S. real GDP picked up to +2 1⁄2% in 16Q2, will sustain healthy pace into 2017. Core inflation likely to exceed Fed’s +2% target by early next year. Yellen will pause, but rate hikes should resume by year-end.

Brexit Financial Panic Should Abate Soon; Little Macro Damage

FMI’s Commentary on the Brexit vote and its economic consequences, or lack thereof