Monetary Policy

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For 2017, New FOMC Same as Old FOMC

FMI’s commentary on personnel and other changes on the FOMC in 2017

Data Round-Up: Core CPI Moderates a Bit; Regional Surveys Show 'Trump Bump'

FMI’s analyses of today’s November CPI report and December Philadelphia Fed & NY Fed Empire Manufacturing Surveys as well as our review of the latest Weekly UI Claims and Rail Traffic results.

FMI’s review of the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

FMI’s review of the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Yellen Likely to Be Reappointed under Clinton or Trump

FMI’s commentary on Janet Yellen’s fate under the next president

FOMC Sets the Table for a December Rate Hike

FMI’s commentary on today’s FOMC post-meeting statement

Fed Banks Ramping Up Pressure for Further Rate Hikes

FMI’s commentary on recent discount rate hike requests from Fed banks.

‘Kitchen Sink’ Era Ending for Global Monetary Policy

FMI's commentary on FOMC’s gradual tightening to encourage higher inflation, higher long rates and steeper yield curve

TOE Alert: BOJ throws in the towel

The keypoints of this report include, - The Bank of Japan has abandoned the pretense that it can achieve its 2% inflation target in two years, or any other particular timeframe - In the face of pressure from private banks, it refrained from going more deeply into negative rate territory regarding bank reserves at the BOJ - In another so-called “new framework” it has switched its main operating target: from an increase in the monetary base to keeping 10-year bond yields at zero - The BOJ also issued a Comprehensive Assessment of why it failed to meet its 2% target, but there is not a lot of culpa in its mea culpa; it keeps insisting that its policy will eventually work - There is no talk of what is really needed: a fiscal-monetary combination

FOMC Snapshot: No Rate Hike Tomorrow, One in December, Two-ish in 2017

FMI’s FOMC September Snapshot with the likely highlights of tomorrow’s meeting.

August Housing Starts Disappoint a Bit But Trends Stay Positive

FMI’s analyses of today’s August Housing Starts report plus notes on the September Philadelphia Fed regional non-manufacturing survey.