Growth Outlook and Business Cycle


Data Round-Up: Jobs, Workweek & Unemployment End Year on Strong Note; Wage Woes Exaggerated

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s December Employment report.

December Employment Preview: Expect +275K Private Payroll Jobs

FMI’s Preview of the December Employment Report including a review of the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

FMI January 2105 Economic and Investment Outlook

FMI's complete January 2015 Economic & Investment Outlook.

Data Round-Up: PMI Settles Back, Still Ends 2014 on Healthy Note

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s December PMI (Manufacturing) survey and November Construction report.

Data Round-Up: Regional Surveys Settle Down in December, Still Point to Good 2015

FMI’s analyses of today’s December Chicago Purchasing Managers Index and other Regional Surveys as well as the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic data, plus a Summary of data released this month and a Schedule of major releases in January.

Data Round-Up: Home Prices Continue Above-Trend Gains

FMI’s analysis of this morning’s October S&P/Case-Shiller Home Prices Indices.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: December 29-January 2

FMI’s Preview of data releases in this holiday-truncated week.

Data Round-Up: UI Claims Continue to Show Healthy Jobs Market

FMI’s review of today’s Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

Data Round-Up: Real Consumption on Track for Strong 4.5% in 14Q4

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s Third Report of 14Q3 GDP, November Durable Goods and Personal Income & Consumption reports (all three also attached as a single PDF) plus notes on November New Home Sales and the December Richmond Fed Manufacturing and Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing regional surveys.

Data Round-Up: Energy/Oil Leads CPI Decline, Should Not Change Fed's Rate Hike Timetable

FMI’s analyses of today’s November CPI report (including High-Frequency Inflation Indicators).

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