Growth Outlook and Business Cycle

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Unemployment Insurance Claims

FMI’s commentary on the likely (very modest) effects of the dollar’s recent appreciation and our review of today’s Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

Data Round-Up: Total and Core CPI Above Expectations, Currency Impact Remains Modest

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s September CPI report including a review of Higher-Frequency Inflation Indicators.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: October 20-24

FMI’s Preview of the coming week’s smattering of data releases. Existing and New Home Sales reports for September on Tuesday and Friday, respectively, will provide more insight into the housing sector. Both are expected to show gradual trend improvement.

Data Round-Up: Housing Starts OK, Bank Lending Trend Remains Solid

FMI’s analyses of today’s September Housing Starts report and September Bank Lending & Money Supply data.

Data Round-Up: Claims, Regionals, Industrial Production -- A Very Good Day

FMI’s analyses of today’s October Philadelphia Fed Regional Manufacturing survey (and other Fed Bank surveys), September Industrial Production report and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

Data Round-Up: Initial UI Claims Remain Low, Job Openings Climb

FMI’s review of the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims data and this week’s August Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) results.

Unemployment, By Any Measure, Keeps Getting Better

FMI’s commentary on the various measures of unemployment for September.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: October 6-10

FMI’s preview of the coming week’s smattering of data releases. There will be little in the way of hard data. Thus, attention will be focused on two dueling Fed interpretations of overall labor market health.

TOE Alert: Unexpected Fall in Industrial Production Leads Economists to Revise Downward Their GDP Forecasts

Japan's Industrial production fell 1.5% in August from July; economists had expected a 0.3% rise

Data Round-Up: September Jobs Report Shows Substantial Improvement

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s September Employment report, August International Trade data, and September Non-Manufacturing Index survey.

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