Growth Outlook and Business Cycle


2016: A New Year, A New-ish Economy

FMI's complete January 2016 Economic & Investment Outlook.

Data Round-Up: Old Year Ends on Soft Notes, New Year Prospects Still Good

FMI’s analyses of the December Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (and other Regional Surveys) and the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

FMI Weekly Data Preview: December 21-25

FMI’s complete Preview of this week’s notable data releases.

Data Round-Up: No Second Thoughts -- Rate Hike Should Be a Go

FMI's November Industrial Production report and November Housing Starts & Permits results, as well as notes on the December NY Fed Business Leaders Survey, a regional services measure.

Data Round-Up: Core CPI Running Above +2%, Stage Set for Rate Hike

FMI’s analysis of today’s November CPI report including a review of high-frequency inflation indicators.

Data Round-Up: NFIB, Manpower, JOLTS Show Continued Healthy Jobs Market

FMI’s analyses of today’s November NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, October JOLTS report and 16Q1 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.

Data Round-Up: Vehicle Sales Stay in High Gear; Compensation Trend Improving

FMI’s review of November Vehicle Sales and today’s Revised 15Q3 Productivity & Labor Costs data.

Data Round-Up: PMI Shows Mfg Contraction, Still Points to +2% Real GDP in 15Q4

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s November PMI survey and October Construction report.

Data Round-Up: Manufacturing Still Struggling Amid Inventory Excesses

FMI’s analysis of the November Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index (and other Regional Surveys)

Preview of Data Releases: Nov. 30-Dec. 4, 2015

FMI’s preview of the rest of the week’s notable data releases (including a Summary of major data in November and a Schedule of key releases in December).

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