Growth Outlook and Business Cycle


September Employment Preview: Expect +175K Private Jobs Gain, Modest Impact from Florence

FMI’s Preview of Friday’s September Employment report including our review of the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims & Rail Traffic data.

Key Takeaways from September Employment Report

FMI’s commentary on key takeaways from the September Employment report.

August Non-Manufacturing Index

FMI's analysis of this morning's Non-Manufacturing Index.

August Employment Analysis: Healthy Job Gains, Improving Wages Will Keep Fed Rate Hikes Coming

FMI’s analysis of today’s August Employment.

Data Round-Up: Real Consumption on Track for +3% Gain in 18Q3

FMI’s analyses of today’s July Personal Income & Consumption plus the latest Weekly UI Claims & Rail Traffic results.

Data Round-Up: PPI Moderated in July, Trends Still Well Above Target

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s July PPI report including a review of recent High-Frequency Inflation Indicators, the latest Weekly Initial UI Claims & Rail Traffic results, and our review of and a look at 18Q2 GDP Component Revisions to Date including today’s June Wholesale Inventories report.

Age Mix of the Workforce Is Not Holding Down Wages

FMI’s commentary on the effects on demographics shifts in employment on average wages.

Data Round-Up: More Job Openings than Unemployed People for Fourth Month

FMI’s review of today’s June JOLTS results.

Home Price Appreciation Will Moderate, But Not Yet

FMI’s commentary on the home price trend.

Data Round-Up: Another Strong Jobs Report -- Private Payroll Trend Improving

FMI’s analyses of this morning’s July Employment, June International Trade and July Non-Manufacturing Index reports.

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